Today on Twitter I put it out there that the Cubs would sweep this series from the Cardinals. So much for that.
Forget should be, could be, would be. How good ARE we? Honestly, maybe not that good.
Sure, healthy I think we could be unstoppable. But this is the major leagues, who wouldn’t be unbelievable at full strength?
It is what it is. Here’s what it is:
HITTING Cubs ranking across the entire National League:
Batting Avg .252 tied for 11th
SLG Avg .427 ranked 5th
OBP .339 ranked 7th
SO 268 ranked 7th
BB 144 ranked 7th
HR 46 ranked 4th
Hits 312 ranked 13th
Stolen bases 20 ranked 11th
Games 37 (fewest in the NL)
So what are we looking at here. We’ve played the fewest games in the NL so we don’t have the at-bats the other teams have. Yet, the at-bats we have had have only been so productive. Two-thirds of the National League has a better batting average than we do. About 80% of the league has more hits than we do. Yet, our walks are up there in the top ten putting our OBP up there in the top ten as well. We’re getting on base and showing above average patience. Not quite enough in the results category though and somehow while our patience has been rewarded at times with plenty of walks, over half the NL is either more patient than we are overall or are swinging at better pitches than we are as we rank 7th in the NL in strikeouts. Soriano and Lee of course may step forward, they surely help in that category (Soriano leads the team with 36), but overall, this is an issue. The key problem with the team so far as far as I can tell by just taking a quick look at the numbers is well displayed in using Soriano as an example in that Soriano also leads the team in home runs, hits, doubles (tied with Fukudome), runs, RBI’s and total bases.
Can he be amazing some nights? Yeah. Is he sometimes awful? Well, yeah. Does that make him good? Um…at times? But certainly no better than that. And that’s pretty much where the team is performing as a whole. Lots of moments where we look brilliant and then plenty of examples of ‘wait, what?’ Injuries happen to everyone…every team. No single player ever won the World Series. This is a team sport. So let’s just forget about injury bugs for a while…our bench and back up guys are just as important as the starters. Their at-bats count just as equally. They cross home plate, it counts as a run just as it does a starter. If they fly out, no breaks there. No half outs. No mercy rule for bench/support guys. It is what it is. And right now, this team…from marquis starter to last guy on the roster, this team isn’t very good. Not often enough anyway.
Thirty seven games in. 21-16, three games behind the Milwaukee Brewers. That’s what happens when you have a stat sheet that looks like the one listed above. Starters or supporting players, this team has to get more consistent. Tonight’s three hit display was pathetic and I agree with a lot of Cubs fans in that we could be sitting pretty right now 20% of the way through the season if we had that fire night in and night out. I don’t think it’s there right now. I do believe what I said in my last post that Piniella has done a great job keeping us in the thick of things considering that we’re not at full strength. Problem is, those that do get to play must get more consistent. Otherwise, we’re not that good of a ballclub. At best, we’re ok. And when was the last time a team that was just ok did anything special?
Season’s still young but it can get away from you in a hurry. Let’s hope the guys start hitting their stride, finding that patience at the plate and those that are struggling shake off the rust finally and really start contributing. Otherwise, maybe it’s time to give some other guys a shot who make a difference on a consistent basis.
Before I sign off here, let’s take a look at the pitching stats:
PITCHING Cubs ranking across the entire National League:
ERA 4.50 ranked 10th
Wins 21 ranked 4th (behind two others in our own division, Cards and Brewers)
Saves 9 tied for 8th
Hits 293 ranked 15th
ER 163 ranked 8th
HR 45 ranked 2nd most
BB 151 ranked 6th
SO 308 ranked 1st
And yet again, there you go. For every one thing we’re doing well, there’s something bringing us down to mediocrity. Should, could, would…paper…forget it all. This team is going to have to find a way to be much more consistent and develop in the areas they are lagging behind. It’s up to Lou and the coaches to figure this thing out. As far as I can tell, more patience at the plate, smarter pitch/swing selection, more control on the mound, keeping the ball down (when the opposition hits it, they are apparently hitting it a LONG way) and perhaps a change at closer is in order to bring this thing up to par.
Should we be good? Yes. Could we be good? Sure. Love our roster on paper? Me too. Are we all that good? Right now? Not really. Lucky to be three games out. Let’s see how the rest of this series against the division rival Cardinals goes. Would be a great time to really start throwing this thing in gear. Go get ‘em Demp. (oh, and as for which of these guys I think deserves an all-star vote as I promised in my last post? Just one…Fukudome. The rest, I’d have a hard time justifying so far). Go Cubs Go!